Woodland Hills

Woodland Hills: Expectations Out of Balance

Last time I analyzed the MLS data for the North West San Fernando Valley, I noted some encouraging trends: a 1% year-over-year increase in the median sold price, and the fact that the “for sale” prices were within approximately 10% of the “sold prices,” which is considered a healthy equilibrium between buyers and sellers. This basically means that sellers are being realistic, which permits transactions to take place. But, turning to the micro-climate of Woodland Hills, we can see a very different picture. On the chart below, it is apparent that while the “for sale” price hasn’t budged since last year, the median sold price has plunged 11%. In other words, buyers and sellers are getting increasingly out of sync. But, at the same time, inventory has plummeted from earlier this year. It will be interesting to see in the coming months whether the expectation gap causes inventory to increase. Stay tuned.

Woodland Hills

Can You Afford to Throw Away Up to $8,000.00? November 30th Is Just Around the Corner.

The federal first time homebuyer tax credit will expire — poof! — and you’ll have officially blown your chance to access up to $8000 if you can’t get into escrow and actually CLOSE THE DEAL by no later than November 30th, 2009. Thus, some are suggesting that if you are a first time buyer that you try to get a property under contract by September 30, 2009 in order be able to have plenty of time to close before the deadline. (There is always a possibility, of course, that the credit will be renewed or changed by Congress — but are you feeling lucky?)

California is a very desirable place to live — but it is also the 47th lowest state in homeownership with a rate of only 56.9% according to the US Census Bureau. Since the last recession ended in the 1990s, it became increasingly difficult to afford to buy a property in California and, in particular, in Los Angeles. The recent real estate and financial market crash has had a silver lining — real estate is now more accessible then it has been in a long time.

In Woodland Hills, from the beginning of this year up to 7-26-09, a 3 bedroom 2 bath house with about 1315 square feet averaged just over $400,000. This translates to a monthly payment of less than $2,250.00 with 3.5% down payment (FHA) and a hypothetical interest rate of 5.6%. By comparison, it would likely cost you $2,300.00 to rent the equivalent place, a rent payment that is very likely to increase over the next thirty years. What you gain by owning vs. renting is the interest tax deduction, and up to $8,000.00 in the form of a tax CREDIT provided you qualify and close escrow in time. (Do keep in mind that there are other costs, taxes, insurance etc. — but also intangible benefits to homeownership. Plus, if you get a fixed rate mortgage, as we advocate, your investment will be sheltered from inflation.)

If you find yourself overwhelmed by the buying process (from getting pre-approved to selecting your property), please let me guide you so that the process is as smooth as possible — perhaps you will find yourself in a new home in time for the holidays.

Woodland Hills

Hipster Alert! Is Woodland Hills Destined to Become the Next Trendy Destination?

Ok, that might be a bit of an exaggeration. But there are big changes planned for the West Valley that may well affect the desirability (and price) of homes in Woodland Hills and surrounding areas. On the almost-empty (save for a new Crate & Barrel) parcel of land that separates the Westfield Promenade and Westfield Topanga, megadeveloper the Westfield Group is planning to construct what may become the “Third Street Promenade” of the West Valley. In fact, the planned development (called The Village at Westfield Topanga) will look so much like the Third Street Promenade in Santa Monica, that Westfield used a photo of the actual Third Street Promenade in its marketing efforts: check out the fourth slide on http://westfield.com/thevillage/

Westfield’s information about the Village on its site is a bit sparse – it does not seem to have been significantly updated since 2007 – but the developer claims to be “exploring” “community amenities” for the Village including a “senior/community center, museum component with interactive educational programs for children, water features . . . public art displays, such as sculpture gardens, gourmet grocery store, and open air plaza.”
What does the planned Village development mean for the West Valley? Perhaps, finally, some nightlife of the non-enclosed mall variety, some more restaurants and a place to hang out during the warm Valley nights. Time will tell whether the actual development will be a plastic-y replicant of actual life (like the taste-challenged Universal Citywalk), or something with some character. Given the current state of the economy it may be some time before the Village is anything besides a dream on a piece of paper. But, if the Village development takes place as planned and it is well executed, it will add a sorely needed amenity to Woodland hills, and may well have a positive impact on the market value of surrounding areas.

Woodland Hills

Number of Woodland Hills Homes In Escrow up 55% over last year

It appears that home buyers have finally been coming out of the woodwork lately. Looking only at single family detached homes in Woodland Hills, the number of properties going into escrow has been leaping recently. The latest figures from SROAR comparing May 08 to May 09, show an increase of 55% of such homes going into escrow. I would not be surprised to see this trend continue, at least if the interest rates stay relatively low (and they still are, even after the latest uptick).

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